Hi everybody. I just wanted to follow-up on yesterday’s post concerning the protests taking place in Egypt. This is a historic action that will have major implications, not only in the future of Egypt but also in the overall stability of the Middle East. First off I wanted to restate my prayers going out to the people in Egypt and their quest to have their will be done. Each country, in my opinion, should be a country where the people who live there have the final say, not their leaders. Leaders work FOR the people and history has shown you can only oppress people for so long before they take to the streets looking for your head. I have been seeing reports of a loosely organized “million man march” that may be taking place Tuesday and hope that it is a peaceful action that allows the sheer numbers it will posses to be the main statement, not violence.
So what’s next for Egypt? There are obviously a few ways this can go. The first and most likely result will be some sort of democratic setup, even if it falls short of the level of democracy we have here in the United States. The biggest reasons for the current events are economic despair and the people growing tired of the political tyranny, but there is a lot more to all this than just that, as what happens will not only affect Egypt but the United States as well.
A Time magazine article I read on this situation stated that “the man most likely to replace him if the political process is thrown open now looks to be Dr. Mohammed ElBaradei, the Nobel Peace Prize winning former nuclear inspector who has been endorsed as a presidential candidate by the smaller secular parties and importantly also by the Muslim Brotherhood, the country’s largest opposition party. ElBaradei is a moderate and a democrat, but he doesn’t share Washington’s allergy to Islamist parties and has publicly questioned the Obama Administration’s strategy on Iran’s nuclear program.”
Should this happen, you have to wonder what effect this will have on not only the United States desire to pressure Iran out of their nuclear program, but also our general influence in the region. Egypt’s leadership has long been willing to assist the United States in their Mideast endeavors but if the above stated ElBaradei winds up in power, we may see a less cooperative Egypt, and the United States will have essentially lost an ally in the region. Not because Egypt will no longer be willing to work with or assist us, they just may be more opinionated than they have been in the past.
In the end though, I think what is happening is a good thing. The United States, if it truly cares about liberty worldwide, should be cheering for that and not just for an outcome that will benefit them diplomatically because in the end, this is about the people of Egypt having a right to choose how they are ruled.
On a related note, this situation raises the question of what role the Muslim Brotherhood will have there in the future. Currently banned, the potential new leadership looks upon them a conservative group that has a focus on human rights and they will most certainly be involved on some level. The interesting thing is that the U.S. is viewed in a hostile way by the Brotherhood’s supporters due to their support for the leadership that’s about to be removed. Both Israel and the United States are worrying about this behind closed doors, that I can guarantee. Stay tuned folks, this is a long way from being over and countries all over the Middle East and the world will be affected.